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Same game multi statistics · AFL and NRL 2026
8 of 87 tipped same game multis won
Oz Profit graded every same game multi that Betr posted as its best bet on the Betr blog during the 2026 AFL and NRL seasons. We checked each leg against the official match stats. 8 of the 87 won. At the advertised prices, you'd expect about 15. A $10 bet on every one cost $860 and returned $522.
Published 14 November 2026. Multis posted from 23 April to 1 October 2026. How we counted
- 9%of the tipped SGMs won (8 of 87). The advertised prices implied 17%.
- −39%return on $10 a multi: $860 in, $522 back.
- 29of the 79 losing multis missed by a single leg (37%).
- 51%of the 294 individual legs landed. Every leg has to land for the multi to pay.
Every slip, in the order it was posted
Each ticket is one tipped same game multi. Pick one to see its legs and what happened.
- Won (8)
- Lost by one leg (29)
- Lost by two or more (50)
The last winner was posted on 7 August. The 36 tipped SGMs after it, through the finals, all lost. The longest losing run was 37 in a row.
Why good-looking legs still lose
Most legs on these slips came with a stat attached, such as a player's goals in his last 15 games. Taken one at a time, they landed 51% of the time. A multi only pays when every leg lands, so those chances multiply.
The AFL slips had four legs, and their legs landed 61% of the time. Four legs at that rate come home about 13% of the time, and the AFL slips won 12%. The NRL slips had three legs that landed 43% of the time, which works out at about 8%. They won 7%.
Legs in the same game aren't fully independent, and bookmakers price them together for that reason. Even so, multiplying the leg rates came close to what happened.
How often each kind of leg landed
Same game multis only. NRL try scorers landed least often, which is a big part of why the NRL slips did worse than the AFL ones.
AFL, NRL and multis across several games
| Multis | Won | Typical price | Legs landed | $10 on each | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AFL same game multis (4 legs) | 33 | 4 (12%) | $5.16 | 61% | $320 in, $207 back (-35%) |
| NRL same game multis (3 legs) | 54 | 4 (7%) | $6.61 | 43% | $540 in, $315 back (-42%) |
| All same game multis | 87 | 8 (9%) | $6.07 | 51% | $860 in, $522 back (-39%) |
| AFL multis across several games | 21 | 2 (10%) | $5.77 | 60% | $200 in, $95 back (-52%) |
"Typical price" is the average advertised price. Dollar figures leave out 2 posts that didn't state a price.
What this means if you bet on multis
The price on a same game multi includes the bookmaker's margin on every leg, plus whatever it adds for pricing the legs together. Over 87 slips, that showed up as 8 winners where the prices suggested about 15.
Matched bettors come at SGMs from the other side. Bookmakers often run SGM promotions that refund your stake as a bonus bet when a multi misses by one leg. On these 87 slips, that happened 29 times, about one slip in 3. Our guide to SGM matched betting shows how to work out which of those promotions are worth taking, with the numbers.
If gambling is costing you more than you want it to, Gambling Help is free and open 24/7 on 1800 858 858, or at gamblinghelponline.org.au.
How we counted
The multis. Betr publishes a best bet for AFL and NRL matches on its blog, usually as a same game multi with every leg and its price in the post. We took every AFL and NRL post with a multi in the 2026 season from the blog's sitemap: 87 same game multis (33 AFL, 54 NRL, including one State of Origin match) and 21 AFL multis across several games, which we report separately. The blog's 2026 posts start in late April, so the first rounds of each season aren't in the data.
Grading. We matched each post to its game by date, team and player, then checked every leg against the official statistics: AFL Tables for AFL disposals, goals, tackles, marks and scores, and the NRL.com match centre for NRL scores, half-time scores and try scorers. All 294 same game multi legs were graded. One leg in a multi across several games named a player who doesn't appear in the 2026 statistics. That multi had already lost on another leg, so it doesn't change any figure.
Prices and returns. We used the price printed in each post, which is the price when the post went up. Prices move, so someone betting later may have got a different one. Returns assume $10 on every priced multi, with a winning multi paying its price. Two AFL posts (one same game multi, one across several games) didn't state a price, so they count in the win rates but not the dollar figures. "Expected" wins add up one divided by each price, which is the win rate the prices imply before the bookmaker's margin is taken out.
What it can't tell you. These are one bookmaker's tipped multis from one season, 87 bets in all, which is enough to show a pattern but not to rank bookmakers or tipsters. They're the multis Betr chose to feature, not every multi punters placed. The leg-landing rates describe these legs only.
The data. Every leg, what happened and the title of the source post are in the CSV download, so anyone can re-check a slip.
Use this research
You're welcome to quote these figures. Please credit Oz Profit with a link to this page.
Citation
Oz Profit (2026). Same game multi statistics: how 87 bookmaker-tipped AFL and NRL multis finished in 2026. https://www.ozprofit.com/same-game-multi-statistics/
The data
All 378 graded legs, with the result of each multi and the title of its post.
Download the CSV